Predicting the Remaining Life of Offshore Structure Members with Random Forest Algorithm

Authors

Faculty of Civil Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology (Tehran Polytechnic), Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Introduction

     Considering the importance and high cost of construction and maintenance of offshore platforms for the purpose of oil and gas extraction, and considering the fact that in case of failure, they can cause many environmental disasters, technical inspection of their structural condition is of serious importance. In addition to the high cost, this does not cover all aspects and it is very difficult to detect the failure in this case. Due to the repetitive nature of most of the environmental loads in the seas, these structures are constantly exposed to multiple and repetitive loadings. The phenomenon of fatigue is one of the effective factors in the health of these types of structures, so that during the past decades, the offshore industry has witnessed unfortunate events that often occurred due to the phenomenon of fatigue. One of the unpleasant cases can be mentioned the disaster of the Norwegian semi-submerged oil platform in the North Sea, named as the Kyland Alexandria, in which 123 people of the platform's crew lost their lives. One of the main braces connected to the base of the pontoon was completely broken and separated from the platform, causing the platform to completely overturn. The semi-submersible rig Sedo 135, which began operating in the Gulf of Mexico in 1965, suffered a fatigue failure in one of its rigs in 1967 after two years. One of the most widely used platforms in the Persian Gulf is the fixed platform of the stencil or jacket type, which is a steel structure that has braces and a deck, and foundations that are fixed on the sea floor by numerous piles. Fatigue cracks are the main failure factor in fixed jacket platforms (Ibrion et al., 2020).

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References

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Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Volume 54.2, Issue 115 - Serial Number 115
Summer of 2024
November 2024
Pages 85-95

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